A lot of discussion flies around about AFA membership numbers and the AFA’s failure to retain members. Many of the folks who speak on this subject like to point out that the AFA has lost more members than it has gained, that the AFA loses three members for every one it gains, and so forth.
It appears quite damning when they write or say these things, because their numbers are reasonably accurate. So… Are these doomsayers and naysayers correct? Is the AFA foundering? Are we riding a sinking ship?
Absolutely not!
Ask these same people how many people last more than a year in the farrier profession. Ask these same people how many people make it more than two years in the farrier profession. In fact, simply ask yourself how many people you know who have made a false start in the farrier profession.
You might also ask these same people how many of the people they started with are still shoeing horses. I don’t have accurate numbers, and I don’t know that anyone does, but I can tell you that I graduated horseshoeing school with 16 other people. Out of the 17, I was the only one still shoeing at the five-year mark. I don’t think that’s terribly unusual or different, and it’s probably pretty typical.
While you’re asking, ask these people how many horseshoeing practices they’ve seen fail each year. We know this business eats people up. It’s not easy to get established. It’s not easy to stay sound, physically or financially. Not everyone has the horse sense to stay with it. Not everyone has the business sense to stay with it.
So, yes. The AFA loses a lot of members, just as the farrier profession loses a lot of practitioners. It’s the nature of the business, and it’s reflected in our organization. When someone leaves farriery to work in a factory or an office or to drive a truck or start a lawn care business, they don’t renew their membership. Duh.
In any case, be prepared, because the folks that want to manipulate the numbers and paint the AFA as foundering and failing are going to be better armed in the future.
Now that the AFA is giving graduating students a free membership, it’s inevitable that we will see more memberships go un-renewed. Despite our best efforts to help new graduates, the fact remains that newcomers will fail at a higher rate or simply choose to take another path, and our membership losses will reflect that.
So… if you wanna manipulate numbers and paint ugly pictures, get a life. If you want to promote excellence in farriery, get a membership. The AFA is alive and well.